The Theory of Persistence

In a few words / testable registry

PT Predictions

A fundamental theory must be willing to be contradicted. The active monograph lists 28 Tier‑1 items (P1–P19, P21–P28 and P25b), plus αs running scales. This page presents them without turning them into theorems: they are physical tests of the PT bridge.

PRED

Strong prediction

observable not yet measured at decisive precision, or derived before the measurement became decisive.

EXPL

Explanatory reconstruction

already known experimental value reconstructed by the PT chain without a fitted continuous parameter.

NEG

Negative prediction

predicted absence of a phenomenon: no QCD axion, no low-energy SUSY, no extra dimensions, etc.

OPEN

Open programme

testable direction not promoted to Tier‑1 status in the monograph.

Reading rule: PRED and NEG carry the strongest Popperian weight. EXPL still matters because a no-free-parameter reconstruction strongly constrains the theory, but it is not a temporal prediction in the same sense.

The Grand Carrefour 2032

The clearest test is DUNE/JUNO: three independent PMNS-sector numbers must land together. The monograph estimates the chance coincidence near 10⁻⁶. That is precisely the kind of experimental lock that could push PT toward recognized physics, or force a revision of its bridge.

P4 DUNE 2032

δCP(PMNS) = 197.358°

PRED

P6 DUNE 2032

sin²θ23 = 0.5733

EXPL

P7 JUNO/DUNE

sin²θ13 = 0.02222

EXPL

Main Tier‑1 Registry

ID PT statement Status Test What would put it in trouble
P1 Dirac neutrinos, no active Majorana mass PRED LEGEND/nEXO, 2030+ 0νββ confirmed at 3σ.
P2 Normal neutrino mass hierarchy EXPL JUNO 2027 Inverted hierarchy confirmed at 5σ.
P3 θQCD = 0 exactly PRED ADMX/IAXO Non-zero θQCD above 10⁻¹⁰.
P4 δCP(PMNS) = 197.358° PRED DUNE 2032 DUNE-compatible interval missed.
P5 mν3 = 0.0505 eV PRED KATRIN/JUNO/cosmology Mass incompatible with the PMNS chain.
P6 sin²θ23 = 0.5733 EXPL DUNE 2032 Precision measurement outside band.
P7 sin²θ13 = 0.02222 EXPL JUNO 2027 Precision measurement outside band.
P8 λH = mH²/(2v²) = 0.1295 PRED HL‑LHC Higgs self-coupling incompatible at 3σ.
P9 H0 = 67.41 km/s/Mpc EXPL Euclid/DESI H0 > 70 confirmed at 5σ.
P10 No QCD axion NEG ADMX/IAXO QCD axion detected.
P11 No SUSY below 100 TeV NEG HL‑LHC/FCC‑hh Low-energy SUSY particle.
P12 Ngen = 3 exactly EXPL colliders Active fourth generation.
P13 No proton decay NEG Hyper‑K Proton decay confirmed.
P14 No WIMP as fundamental dark matter NEG/EXPL LZ/XENONnT Robust non-geometric WIMP.
P15 αGW < 10⁻³, PT value ≃ 2×10⁻⁴ PRED Einstein Telescope Incompatible gravitational asymmetry.
P16 Scalar spectral index ns = 0.964 EXPL CMB‑S4 New precision value outside band.
P17 No g−2 anomaly requiring BSM physics PRED Fermilab/J‑PARC Stable excess not absorbed by echo VP.
P18 mW = 80.3635 GeV, CDF‑II rejected EXPL ATLAS/CMS/HL‑LHC World average > 80.40 GeV at 5σ.
P19 No extra spatial dimensions NEG LHC Run 3/FCC Extra dimension observed.
P21 No g shell: 9 = 3² composite and γ11 < 1/2 PRED Z ≥ 121 synthesis Stable g shell observed.
P22 Period 8 = 32 elements: 8s + 6f + 7d + 8p PRED Z = 119–150 elements Incompatible period length.
P23 Chemistry ends near Z ≈ 134 PRED superheavy programme Stable chemistry beyond the PT threshold.

Radiative Sector

P24–P28 test the same logic in radiative corrections: weak masses, magnetic moments, electroweak running, higher-order coefficients, and the top width. The important point is not only the numerical value, but the lack of an adjustment knob once the PT chain is fixed.

P24 EXPL

mW = 80.3635 GeV excludes the CDF‑II anomaly

Test: HL‑LHC mW

P25 PRED

aμ = 116 592 058 × 10⁻¹¹ and RHVP = 1.04203

Test: Fermilab/J‑PARC, lattice/e⁺e⁻ HVP

P25b PRED

ae = 1.15965218105 × 10⁻³ from echo-VP universality

Test: Penning trap, CODATA/α

P26 PRED

Full sin²θW(Q) running curve

Test: MESA, FCC‑ee, FCC‑hh

P27 PRED

PT-specific N³LO coefficients

Test: future SM multi-loop calculations

P28 EXPL

Γt = 1.306 GeV

Test: HL‑LHC top width

αs Running

The monograph counts αs running as an additional testable surface: the Z-point value is derived, then the flow predicts other scales. Below mb, the text explicitly distinguishes the perturbative two-loop formula from the exact non-perturbative PT formula.

Scale PT Reference Reading
1 TeV 0.0878 0.0876 ± 0.0013 sub-percent
mt 0.1073 0.1078 ± 0.0011 sub-percent
mZ 0.1181 0.1180 ± 0.0009 R42 anchor
mb 0.237 at 2 loops; 0.2217 in exact PT formula 0.221 ± 0.002 non-perturbative regime
0.353 at 2 loops 0.332 ± 0.013 non-perturbative regime

Near-Term Extensions and Emerging Signals

These entries matter for the research programme, but they should not all be read as equivalent to the 28 Tier‑1 items. Some belong to already formalized sub-sectors, while others are emerging signals that need experimental locking.

PRED Pchem‑1

IE(Z=119) = 4.45(2) eV

Window: FSCC/synthesis 2027

PRED Pchem‑2

IE(Z=120) = 5.19(3) eV

Window: FSCC/synthesis 2028

PRED Pchem‑3

EA(Z=119) = 0.66(3) eV

Window: FSCC/synthesis 2027

PRED Pnucl‑1

Binding energy of 310Uut

Window: FRIB/GSI 2027

PRED Pgw‑1

Ωinfo = 26.48%, ΩΛ = 68.65%

Window: DESI DR3

PRED Pbio‑1

RNA PDB DSSR‑strict: F1 ≥ 0.95

Window: new RNA structures

EMERGENT h95

95 GeV excess as Z-echo scalar: mZ RHVP = 95.02 GeV

Window: CMS/ATLAS Run 3 and HL‑LHC

What Is Not Tier‑1 Yet

The late-time cosmological sector, historically labelled P20, remains an open programme. It yields testable estimators for w0, wa, and DESI/Euclid/CMB‑S4 tensions, but the monograph does not count it among the 28 Tier‑1 predictions. That distinction is healthy: it separates what is locked, what is strongly motivated, and what still needs the observational trial.